Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026 odds
Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 5% and No at 96% for “Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026” (Yes unchanged in the last 24 hours).
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Chance of Yes over the last 30 days
Price of a Yes share.
Yes and No odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- Yes5%5%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 22.22US +2122Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- No96%96%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 1.05US −2122Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026” is a Polymarket market with two outcomes. Yes is priced at 5% and No at 96%; Yes is unchanged over the last 24 hours and down 0.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $13K through the market so far, including $0 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
Avamax bought No at 93%
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify. Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at 5% (decimal odds 22.22, American +2122) and No at 96% (decimal odds 1.05, American −2122). The price of a Yes share is the market's implied probability that this happens.
- When does this market close?
- The listed end date is January 1, 2027. Read the resolution rules on this page to see what counts and who decides.
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