Avamax has made $15K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #10,744 all time by profit, with 21M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$15K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 21M
- Portfolio value
- $1.4M
- Profit this month
- +$27K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 85%
How Avamax has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 169 (85%) ended in profit and 31 in a loss, for −$43K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 92%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $1.2M together, the biggest is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?” (No) at 39% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$77K
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$46K
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$38K
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Yes · entry 0.4% · closed Mar 2, 2026
+$35K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$24K
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Yes · entry 0.6% · closed Feb 27, 2026
+$20K
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Feb 24, 2026
+$17K
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
Yes · entry 0.9% · closed Feb 25, 2026
+$15K
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$14K
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Yes · entry 0.2% · closed Feb 27, 2026
+$13K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
No · entry 90% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$137K
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
No · entry >99% · closed Mar 5, 2026
−$38K
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
No · entry 96% · closed Mar 2, 2026
−$32K
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Feb 27, 2026
−$24K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 90% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$21K
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
No · entry 93% · closed Aug 31, 2026
−$18K
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
No · entry 99% · closed Feb 24, 2026
−$16K
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
No · entry 99% · closed Feb 25, 2026
−$14K
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
No · entry 98% · closed Aug 24, 2026
−$14K
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
No · entry 98% · closed Sep 1, 2026
−$14K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$448K
+$12K P&L
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 93%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$163K
+$6,189 P&L
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
No · entry 92%, now 97% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$124K
+$7,489 P&L
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
No · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$95K
+$634 P&L
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
No · entry 86%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$89K
−$888 P&L
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 90%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$51K
+$163 P&L
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?
No · entry 90%, now 94% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$37K
+$1,494 P&L
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 93%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$30K
+$608 P&L
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
+$299 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$272 P&L
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?
No · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
+$59 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
+$348 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?
No · entry 97%, now 99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$303 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?
No · entry 97%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$391 P&L
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
No · entry 94%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$468 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at >99%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in October?
Sold No at >99%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $76 in October?
Sold No at >99%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
Bought No at 91%
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Sold No at >99%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
Sold No at >99%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?
Bought No at 96%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
Sold No at >99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?
Sold No at >99%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
Bought No at 95%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Sold No at >99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?
Sold No at >99%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
Sold No at >99%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
Bought No at 95%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Bought No at 99%
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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