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United States Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap odds

Polymarket traders make Charles Leclerc the favorite for “United States Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap” at 80% (+59 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Yuki Tsunoda at 50%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 3Oct 25
Charles LeclercYuki TsunodaLewis HamiltonKimi Antonelli

All 23 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Show all 23 outcomes

Where this market stands

“United States Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap” is a Polymarket event with 23 open outcomes. Charles Leclerc leads at 80%, ahead of Yuki Tsunoda at 50%. Charles Leclerc is up 59 points over the last 24 hours and up 57 points over the past week. Traders have put $4,334 through the event so far, including $4,323 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 1, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.

If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in United States Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap?
Charles Leclerc is the favorite at 80%, followed by Yuki Tsunoda at 50% and Lewis Hamilton at 10%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
Polymarket traders give Charles Leclerc a 80% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.26 (American −391): $1 staked on Charles Leclerc returns about $1.26 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 59 points.

Related odds

United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner

  • Kimi Antonelli>99%
  • Max Verstappen0.4%
  • Lando Norris0.4%

$656K traded · $553K in 24h

United States Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish

  • Max Verstappen>99%
  • Charles Leclerc>99%
  • Kimi Antonelli>99%

$48K traded · $39K in 24h

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?

  • Yes13%

$1,590 traded · $501 in 24h