Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by odds
The highest-priced market in “Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by” is October 31, 2026 at 0.7% (−2.5 pts in the last 24 hours). Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The leading outcome right now.
All 1 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- October 31, 20260.7%0.7%24h −2.5 ptsOdds 142.86US +14186Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by” is a Polymarket event with 1 open outcomes. October 31, 2026 has the highest price at 0.7%. October 31, 2026 is down 2.5 points over the last 24 hours and down 2.3 points over the past week. Traders have put $4,415 through the event so far, including $1,244 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 1, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
chartreuseverte bought No at 99%
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by October 31, 2026?
1walrus bought No at 99%
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by August 31, 2026?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Starship upper stage is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the Starship upper stage without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.
If SpaceX attempts an ocean splashdown of the Starship upper stage instead of attempting to catch it using the Orbital Launch Tower's chopsticks, that attempt will not qualify. If no Starship launch occurs, or a successful catch does not take place, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship by October 31, 2026?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at 0.7% in this market, which is decimal odds of 142.86 (American +14186): $1 staked on Yes returns about $142.86 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 2.5 points.
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