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Base FDV above X one day after launch odds

The highest-priced market in “Base FDV above X one day after launch” is $500M at 39% (−3.0 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of $2B at 39%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Sep 26Oct 25
$500M$2B$1B$3B

All 10 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Base FDV above X one day after launch” is a Polymarket event with 10 open outcomes. $500M has the highest price at 39%, ahead of $2B at 39%. $500M is down 3.0 points over the last 24 hours and down 2.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $878K through the event so far, including $5,717 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

All whale trades

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 39% in this market, which is decimal odds of 2.60 (American +160): $1 staked on Yes returns about $2.60 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 3.0 points.

Related odds

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

  • $50M99%
  • $100M98%
  • $200M96%

$7.5M traded · $168K in 24h

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

  • $100M98%
  • $200M95%
  • $300M93%

$3.7M traded · $11K in 24h

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

  • $500M 8%
  • $1B8%
  • $100M8%

$6.9M traded · $6,542 in 24h