keasiyo has made $614K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #335 all time by profit, with 23M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$614K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 23M
- Portfolio value
- $35K
- Profit this month
- −$41K
- Win rate (last 169 closed)
- 68%
How keasiyo has traded
Across all 169 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 115 (68%) ended in profit and 54 in a loss, for +$1.3M in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 44%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 69 of the 169 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 11 largest open positions listed below, worth $35K together, the biggest is “Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?” (Yes) at 42% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$167K
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$139K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$107K
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score
Yes · entry 57% · closed Jun 20, 2026
+$91K
Will Chelsea beat PSG?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jul 16, 2025
+$77K
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
Paris Saint-Germain FC · entry 34% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$71K
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Nov 5, 2025
+$66K
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Mar 22, 2026
+$66K
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
Club Atlético de Madrid · entry 7% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$56K
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Mar 22, 2026
+$44K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
FC Bayern München · entry 25% · closed Apr 29, 2026
−$90K
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Apr 29, 2026
−$90K
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?
No · entry 45% · closed Apr 29, 2026
−$53K
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
FC Bayern München · entry 12% · closed Apr 29, 2026
−$43K
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Apr 29, 2026
−$25K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Apr 29, 2026
−$23K
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Apr 29, 2026
−$22K
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Apr 29, 2026
−$22K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?
No · entry 42% · closed Apr 29, 2026
−$21K
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?
No · entry 38% · closed Apr 29, 2026
−$19K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 39%, now 16% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
−$21K P&L
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 44%, now 23% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,247
−$5,619 P&L
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 29%, now 33% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,977
+$644 P&L
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 7%, now 13% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,705
+$2,081 P&L
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes · entry 20%, now 3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,049
−$16K P&L
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 8%, now 9% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$768
+$138 P&L
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 22%, now 9% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$274
−$436 P&L
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Yes · entry 25%, now 3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$151
−$1,045 P&L
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 0.6%, now 0.1% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$133
−$398 P&L
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 20%, now 7% · market ended
$69
−$131 P&L
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.7%, now <0.1% · ended Nov 8, 2028
$50
−$650 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 3%
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF?
Bought Yes at 3%
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF?
Bought Yes at 3%
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF?
Bought Yes at 2%
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 4 Real Madrid CF?
Bought Yes at 3%
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF?
Bought Yes at 4%
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF?
Bought Yes at 4%
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF?
Sold Yes at 33%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Sold Yes at 18%
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Bought Over at 17%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 6.5
Bought Yes at 26%
Will Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
Bought Yes at 23%
Will US Lecce vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
Bought Yes at 30%
Will Genoa CFC vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw?
Bought Yes at 17%
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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