Knobby-Disparity
0xdd2d…84e6 · Joined August 1, 2024
Knobby-Disparity has made $75K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,531 all time by profit, with 2.3M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Jul 16, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$75K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.3M
- Portfolio value
- $5
- Profit this month
- +$0
- Win rate (last 175 closed)
- 75%
How Knobby-Disparity has traded
Across all 175 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 132 (75%) ended in profit and 43 in a loss, for +$83K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 50%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $5 together, the biggest is “Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?” (No) at 58% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
No · entry 80% · closed May 1, 2026
+$12K
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 76% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$8,786
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 44% · closed Mar 6, 2026
+$7,545
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 22% · closed Dec 10, 2025
+$6,060
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 44% · closed Apr 16, 2026
+$5,962
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 30% · closed Mar 6, 2026
+$4,908
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
No · entry 44% · closed Dec 31, 2025
+$4,454
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
No · entry 48% · closed Apr 16, 2026
+$4,396
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 45% · closed Mar 24, 2026
+$3,398
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
No · entry 5% · closed Nov 25, 2025
+$3,171
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
No · entry 18% · closed Jan 4, 2026
−$4,756
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?
No · entry 23% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$3,096
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No · entry 57% · closed Apr 24, 2026
−$3,004
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$2,505
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No · entry 24% · closed Mar 1, 2026
−$2,175
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No · entry 20% · closed Dec 12, 2025
−$1,573
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Mar 24, 2026
−$1,331
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
No · entry 6% · closed Dec 24, 2025
−$1,088
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No · entry 41% · closed Apr 16, 2026
−$1,007
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
No · entry 12% · closed Mar 7, 2026
−$1,005
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
No · entry 73%, now 85% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 69%, now 84% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades
Sold No at 55%
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?
$7
Sold No at 55%
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?
$13
Bought No at 29%
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
$12
Sold No at 55%
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?
$75
Sold No at 32%
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
$628
Sold No at 54%
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?
$90
Sold No at 34%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
$1,006
Sold No at 32%
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
$167
Sold No at 36%
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
$413
Sold No at 35%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
$14
Sold No at 35%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
$20
Sold No at 36%
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
$18
Sold No at 35%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
$58
Sold No at 59%
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?
$5
Sold No at 35%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
$11
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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