Opensea FDV above X one day after launch odds
The highest-priced market in “Opensea FDV above X one day after launch” is $500M at 8% (−0.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of $1B at 8%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 8 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 8%
$500M 8%24h −0.5 ptsOdds 13.25US +1225Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 8%
$1B8%24h +1.0 ptsOdds 13.33US +1233Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 8%
$100M8%24h −0.5 ptsOdds 13.33US +1233Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 7%
$100M7%24h −1.8 ptsOdds 14.93US +1393Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 6%
$300M6%24h −2.5 ptsOdds 18.18US +1718Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 4%
$3B4%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 23.26US +2226Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 3%
$5B3%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 34.48US +3348Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 3%
$2B3%24h −0.7 ptsOdds 35.09US +3409Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Opensea FDV above X one day after launch” is a Polymarket event with 8 open outcomes. $500M has the highest price at 8%, ahead of $1B at 8%. $500M is down 0.5 points over the last 24 hours and down 0.8 points over the past week. Traders have put $6.9M through the event so far, including $6,542 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

hegsethsdream bought No at 94%
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

hegsethsdream bought No at 92%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

83offwrf bought No at 93%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

opus228 bought No at 96%
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

ke1pie bought No at 93%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

bozotys bought No at 90%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

bozotys bought No at 89%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Mingooo sold No at 89%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

bozotys bought No at 86%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

gatonekki sold No at 87%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Liquidifier sold No at 96%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

dadadadayazi sold No at 87%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

mefirofan bought No at 79%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

anlp sold No at 85%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

DavidTrezeguet bought No at 94%
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

BaaDsHa sold No at 85%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

mefirofan bought No at 82%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

elmcap2 sold No at 94%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

MaxEnt bought No at 80%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

elmcap2 bought No at 94%
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

elmcap2 bought No at 95%
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

yulinjin sold No at 92%
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

yulinjin bought No at 94%
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

olegs sold No at 94%
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

olegs sold No at 96%
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Decisive-Jackfruit sold No at 84%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

y6tfd sold No at 93%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

gatonekki sold No at 91%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

alanhutton sold No at 95%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Attradies sold No at 89%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at 8% in this market, which is decimal odds of 13.25 (American +1225): $1 staked on Yes returns about $13.25 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 0.5 points.