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Will Variational launch a token by X? Live odds

The highest-priced market in “Will Variational launch a token by X” is December 31, 2026 at 84% (+4.2 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of November 30, 2026 at 20%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 3 outcomes right now.

Sep 26Oct 26
December 31, 2026November 30, 2026October 31, 2026

All 3 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Will Variational launch a token by X” is a Polymarket event with 3 open outcomes. December 31, 2026 has the highest price at 84%, ahead of November 30, 2026 at 20%. December 31, 2026 is up 4.2 points over the last 24 hours and up 1.3 points over the past week. Traders have put $473K through the event so far, including $2,706 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Variational officially launches a governance token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational (https://x.com/variational_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 84% in this market, which is decimal odds of 1.19 (American −535): $1 staked on Yes returns about $1.19 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 4.2 points.

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