Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by? Live odds
The highest-priced market in “Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by” is April 30, 2027 at 43% (+8.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of December 31, 2026 at 12%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 2 outcomes right now.
All 2 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 43%
April 30, 202743%24h +8.5 ptsOdds 2.33US +133Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 12%December 31, 202612%24h −2.0 ptsOdds 8.70US +770Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. April 30, 2027 has the highest price at 43%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 12%. April 30, 2027 is up 8.5 points over the last 24 hours and unchanged over the past week. Traders have put $2,756 through the event so far, including $207 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on May 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
No trades of $1,000 or more on this market recently.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any live, in-person demonstration or event held by Tesla, a version of the Roadster (including a prototype or other non-final version) that is physically present performs any maneuver in which the vehicle is in motion and its cold gas thrusters, fan/suction system, or other similar onboard propulsion or ground-sealing system are activated and in use, in any capacity, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The vehicle does not need to become airborne, reach any particular speed, or achieve any specific outcome for this market to resolve "Yes" — any live use of the cold gas thrusters, fan/suction system, or similar system while the car is moving (e.g., to jump, spin, hover, lift, drift, or otherwise maneuver) qualifies, regardless of how minor or brief.
The primary resolution source for this market will be video of the qualifying event, including any official Tesla livestream. Official Tesla statements or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market, provided they establish that a live demonstration met the conditions above.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at 43% in this market, which is decimal odds of 2.33 (American +133): $1 staked on Yes returns about $2.33 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 8.5 points.
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