SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by odds
The highest-priced market in “SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by” is December 31 at 28% (unchanged in the last 24 hours), ahead of October 31 at 5%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 2 outcomes right now.
All 2 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 28%
December 3128%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 3.51US +251Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 5%October 315%24h −5.0 ptsOdds 21.28US +2028Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. December 31 has the highest price at 28%, ahead of October 31 at 5%. December 31 is unchanged over the last 24 hours and down 2.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $1.1M through the event so far, including $2 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
dilaoer sold Yes at 33%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
dilaoer sold Yes at 33%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
meiguih sold No at 68%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
rensheg bought No at 67%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
dayuzs bought No at 67%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
dilaoer bought Yes at 34%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
thoodr bought No at 96%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?
thoodr bought No at 96%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?
tonyboy108 bought No at >99%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
tonyboy108 bought No at >99%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
tonyboy108 bought No at >99%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
LacunaWin bought No at 99%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
Gifted-Tomato sold Yes at 63%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.
The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at 28% in this market, which is decimal odds of 3.51 (American +251): $1 staked on Yes returns about $3.51 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved by less than 0.1 points.
