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thoodr

0x3eae…e2ed · Joined April 29, 2026

#2,130 all time#671,089 this monthView on Polymarket

thoodr has made $91K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,130 all time by profit, with 11M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$91K
All-time volume (shares)
11M
Portfolio value
$1.5M
Profit this month
−$87K
Win rate (last 199 closed)
97%

How thoodr has traded

Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 193 (97%) ended in profit and 6 in a loss, for +$726 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 98%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 103 of the 199 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $789K together, the biggest is “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” (No) at 11% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

    No · entry 88% · closed Oct 9, 2026

    +$22K

  • Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

    Yes · entry 92% · closed Sep 24, 2026

    +$5,305

  • Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

    No · entry 94% · closed Jul 18, 2026

    +$4,705

  • Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

    No · entry 97% · closed Sep 1, 2026

    +$4,628

  • President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

    Yes · entry 92% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    +$4,603

  • NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?

    No · entry 95% · closed Sep 1, 2026

    +$4,511

  • Israel closes its airspace by August 15?

    No · entry 88% · closed Aug 16, 2026

    +$4,146

  • Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?

    No · entry 88% · closed Sep 1, 2026

    +$3,942

  • Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

    No · entry 98% · closed Aug 1, 2026

    +$3,670

  • Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

    No · entry 88% · closed Oct 12, 2026

    +$3,522

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?

    Yes · entry 89% · closed Oct 6, 2026

    −$18K

  • Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

    No · entry 95% · closed Sep 2, 2026

    −$17K

  • US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

    No · entry 93% · closed Oct 6, 2026

    −$16K

  • Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

    Yes · entry 94% · closed Aug 12, 2026

    −$15K

  • Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

    Yes · entry 87% · closed Sep 2, 2026

    −$9,576

  • Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?

    No · entry 95% · closed Sep 2, 2026

    −$6,362

  • Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

    No · entry 96% · closed Aug 12, 2026

    −$6,317

  • MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?

    Yes · entry 85% · closed Sep 28, 2026

    −$4,324

  • Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

    Yes · entry 92% · closed Oct 6, 2026

    −$3,680

  • Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?

    No · entry 67% · closed Oct 6, 2026

    −$3,512

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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