NJ-02 House Election Winner odds
Polymarket traders make Jeff Van Drew (R) the favorite for “NJ-02 House Election Winner” at 80% (+0.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Zack Mullock (D) at 20%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 2 outcomes right now.
All 2 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- Jeff Van Drew (R)80%80%24h +0.5 ptsOdds 1.25US −400Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Zack Mullock (D)20%20%24h +0.5 ptsOdds 5.00US +400Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“NJ-02 House Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Jeff Van Drew (R) leads at 80%, ahead of Zack Mullock (D) at 20%. Jeff Van Drew (R) is up 0.5 points over the last 24 hours and down 3.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $101K through the event so far, including $45K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
SlavaUkraini bought Yes at 22%
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
SlavaUkraini bought Yes at 23%
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
Hyperlong bought No at 83%
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Who is the favorite in NJ-02 House Election Winner?
- Jeff Van Drew (R) is the favorite at 80%, followed by Zack Mullock (D) at 20%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
- Polymarket traders give Jeff Van Drew (R) a 80% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.25 (American −400): $1 staked on Jeff Van Drew (R) returns about $1.25 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.5 points.
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