MLS: 2026 Most Valuable Player odds
Polymarket traders make Lionel Messi the favorite for “MLS: 2026 Most Valuable Player” at 93% (+0.1 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Thomas Müller at 4%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 16 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 93%
Lionel Messi93%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 1.08US −1270Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 4%Thomas Müller4%24h +3.8 ptsOdds 25.32US +2432Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 1%Petar Musa1%24h −1.0 ptsOdds 86.96US +8596Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 0.9%Luis Suárez0.9%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 111.11US +11011Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 0.5%Son Heung-min0.5%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 181.82US +18082Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 0.5%Carles Gil0.5%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 200.00US +19900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 0.4%Martin Ojeda0.4%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 285.71US +28471Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 0.3%Sergio Busquets0.3%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 333.33US +33233Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 0.3%Evander0.3%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 400.00US +39900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 0.3%Diego Luna0.3%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 400.00US +39900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 0.2%Philip Zinckernagel0.2%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 500.00US +49900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 0.2%Emil Forsberg0.2%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 500.00US +49900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 0.1%Dejan Joveljic0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 666.67US +66567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 0.1%Sam Surridge0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 666.67US +66567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 0.1%Anders Dreyer0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 666.67US +66567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Show all 16 outcomesShow fewer outcomes
- 0.1%Denis Bouanga0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 666.67US +66567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“MLS: 2026 Most Valuable Player” is a Polymarket event with 16 open outcomes. Lionel Messi leads at 93%, ahead of Thomas Müller at 4%. Lionel Messi is up 0.1 points over the last 24 hours and up 0.1 points over the past week. Traders have put $85K through the event so far, including $182 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
Chonchitoooo sold Yes at 93%
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?
Chonchitoooo bought Yes at 80%
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Landon Donovan Most Valuable Player.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in MLS: 2026 Most Valuable Player?
- Lionel Messi is the favorite at 93%, followed by Thomas Müller at 4% and Petar Musa at 1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?
- Polymarket traders give Lionel Messi a 93% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.08 (American −1270): $1 staked on Lionel Messi returns about $1.08 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.1 points.
