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Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin odds

Polymarket traders make 85% to 87.5% the favorite for “Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin” at 72% (+1.0 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of 87.5% to 90% at 12%.

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Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 15Oct 26
85% to 87.5%87.5% to 90%82.5% to 85%<82.5%

All 6 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin” is a Polymarket event with 6 open outcomes. 85% to 87.5% leads at 72%, ahead of 87.5% to 90% at 12%. 85% to 87.5% is up 1.0 points over the last 24 hours and down 14 points over the past week. Traders have put $5,851 through the event so far, including $633 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on December 23, 2026.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?
85% to 87.5% is the favorite at 72%, followed by 87.5% to 90% at 12% and 82.5% to 85% at 10%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 85% and 87.5%?
Polymarket traders give 85% to 87.5% a 72% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.39 (American −257): $1 staked on 85% to 87.5% returns about $1.39 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 1.0 points.

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