CA-47 House Election Winner odds
Polymarket traders make Dave Min (D) the favorite for “CA-47 House Election Winner” at 96% (+1.3 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Jenny Le Roux (R) at 3%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 2 outcomes right now.
All 2 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- Dave Min (D)96%96%24h +1.3 ptsOdds 1.04US −2432Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Jenny Le Roux (R)3%3%24h −0.6 ptsOdds 28.99US +2799Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“CA-47 House Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Dave Min (D) leads at 96%, ahead of Jenny Le Roux (R) at 3%. Dave Min (D) is up 1.3 points over the last 24 hours and up 0.4 points over the past week. Traders have put $31K through the event so far, including $1,850 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
SitsToPee bought No at 95%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-47 House seat?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Who is the favorite in CA-47 House Election Winner?
- Dave Min (D) is the favorite at 96%, followed by Jenny Le Roux (R) at 3%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will the Democratic Party win the CA-47 House seat?
- Polymarket traders give Dave Min (D) a 96% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.04 (American −2432): $1 staked on Dave Min (D) returns about $1.04 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 1.3 points.
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