Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 MLS Golden Boot? Live odds
Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 61% and No at 40% for “Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 MLS Golden Boot” (Yes unchanged in the last 24 hours).
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Chance of Yes over the last 30 days
Price of a Yes share.
Yes and No odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- Yes61%61%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 1.65US −153Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- No40%40%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2.53US +153Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 MLS Golden Boot” is a Polymarket market with two outcomes. Yes is priced at 61% and No at 40%; Yes is unchanged over the last 24 hours and up 19 points over the past week. Traders have put $1,971 through the market so far, including $0 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on June 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
No trades of $1,000 or more on this market recently.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi finishes as the leading goalscorer of the 2027 MLS Sprint Season regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 2027 MLS Sprint Season is the abbreviated 14-match Major League Soccer regular season scheduled to run from February 2027 to May 2027. Only goals scored in Sprint Season regular-season matches count. Goals in the 2027 MLS Cup Playoffs, Leagues Cup, Concacaf Champions Cup, U.S. Open Cup, international matches and friendlies do not count.
If Major League Soccer officially presents a Golden Boot award for the 2027 MLS Sprint Season, this market will resolve according to that award.
If two or more players finish level on goals scored, this market will resolve according to the tiebreaker applied by Major League Soccer, which awards the Golden Boot to the tied player with the fewest minutes played. If no single winner can be determined, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 MLS Sprint Season is cancelled, postponed after June 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no leading goalscorer can be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 MLS Golden Boot?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at 61% (decimal odds 1.65, American −153) and No at 40% (decimal odds 2.53, American +153). The price of a Yes share is the market's implied probability that this happens.
- When does this market close?
- The listed end date is June 1, 2027. Read the resolution rules on this page to see what counts and who decides.
