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When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released? Live odds

Polymarket traders make October 26–November 1 the favorite for “When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released” at 61% (+22 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of November 23–November 29 at 10%.

Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 22Oct 26
October 26–November 1November 23–November 29November 2–November 8November 30–December 6

All 10 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released” is a Polymarket event with 10 open outcomes. October 26–November 1 leads at 61%, ahead of November 23–November 29 at 10%. October 26–November 1 is up 22 points over the last 24 hours and unchanged over the past week. Traders have put $22K through the event so far, including $7,588 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on December 28, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

All whale trades

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.

A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in When will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released?
October 26–November 1 is the favorite at 61%, followed by November 23–November 29 at 10% and November 2–November 8 at 9%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?
Polymarket traders give October 26–November 1 a 61% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.64 (American −156): $1 staked on October 26–November 1 returns about $1.64 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 22 points.