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When will Bitcoin hit $100k? Live odds

The highest-priced market in “When will Bitcoin hit $100k” is by December 31, 2027 at 75% (+0.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of by September 30, 2027 at 64%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Sep 26Oct 26
by December 31, 2027by September 30, 2027by June 30, 2027by March 31, 2027

All 5 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“When will Bitcoin hit $100k” is a Polymarket event with 5 open outcomes. by December 31, 2027 has the highest price at 75%, ahead of by September 30, 2027 at 64%. by December 31, 2027 is up 0.5 points over the last 24 hours and up 5.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $140K through the event so far, including $3,724 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

All whale trades

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $100,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 75% in this market, which is decimal odds of 1.34 (American −292): $1 staked on Yes returns about $1.34 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.5 points.

Related odds

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

  • Reach $82,50054%
  • Dip to $77,50046%
  • Reach $85,00022%

$11M traded · $476K in 24h

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

  • Reach $82,0002%
  • Dip to $78,0002%
  • Reach $84,0000.8%

$2.0M traded · $401K in 24h

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 25?

  • Reach $81,00021%
  • Dip to $79,00010%
  • Reach $82,0003%

$278K traded · $277K in 24h