Oregon Senate Election: Turnout odds
Polymarket traders make 2M-2.1M the favorite for “Oregon Senate Election: Turnout” at 27% (−2.0 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of 1.9M-2M at 16%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 9 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 2M-2.1M27%27%24h −2.0 ptsOdds 3.77US +277Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 1.9M-2M16%16%24h −11 ptsOdds 6.15US +515Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2.1M-2.2M12%12%24h +1.0 ptsOdds 8.33US +733Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2.2M+11%11%24h −9.4 ptsOdds 9.05US +805Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- <1.5M11%11%24h +6.6 ptsOdds 9.30US +830Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 1.8M-1.9M1%1%24h −0.5 ptsOdds 80.00US +7900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 1.5M-1.6M0.6%0.6%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 166.67US +16567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 1.6M-1.7M0.6%0.6%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 166.67US +16567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 1.7M-1.8M0.6%0.6%24h +0.4 ptsOdds 166.67US +16567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Oregon Senate Election: Turnout” is a Polymarket event with 9 open outcomes. 2M-2.1M leads at 27%, ahead of 1.9M-2M at 16%. 2M-2.1M is down 2.0 points over the last 24 hours and down 7.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $24K through the event so far, including $4,125 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
spacegliderr bought No at 82%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in Oregon Senate Election: Turnout?
- 2M-2.1M is the favorite at 27%, followed by 1.9M-2M at 16% and 2.1M-2.2M at 12%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?
- Polymarket traders give 2M-2.1M a 27% chance, which is decimal odds of 3.77 (American +277): $1 staked on 2M-2.1M returns about $3.77 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 2.0 points.
