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Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of November 7 odds

Polymarket traders make Housewife - Tate McRae the favorite for “Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of November 7” at 67% (+8.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley at 30%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 24Oct 26
Housewife - Tate McRaeChoosin' Texas - Ella LangleySolar Eclipse - Drake & Don ToliverPatient Zero - Taylor Swift

All 7 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of November 7” is a Polymarket event with 7 open outcomes. Housewife - Tate McRae leads at 67%, ahead of Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley at 30%. Housewife - Tate McRae is up 8.5 points over the last 24 hours and unchanged over the past week. Traders have put $4,678 through the event so far, including $2,020 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of November 7, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of November 7?
Housewife - Tate McRae is the favorite at 67%, followed by Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley at 30% and Solar Eclipse - Drake & Don Toliver at 0.5%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7?
Polymarket traders give Housewife - Tate McRae a 67% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.49 (American −203): $1 staked on Housewife - Tate McRae returns about $1.49 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 8.5 points.

Related odds

Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of November 7

  • Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley56%
  • Housewife - Tate McRae21%
  • Boston - Stella Lefty3%

$4,699 traded · $4,283 in 24h

Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 31

  • Housewife - Tate McRae77%
  • Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley10%
  • Patient Zero - Taylor Swift<0.1%

$36K traded · $2,930 in 24h

#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30)

  • Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA92%
  • Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley7%
  • expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan0.5%

$10K traded · $8,976 in 24h