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#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30) odds

Polymarket traders make Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA the favorite for “#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30)” at 92% (+36 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley at 7%.

Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 24Oct 26
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLAChoosin' Texas - Ella Langleyexpectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell RoanEarrings - Malcolm Todd

All 7 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“#2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30)” is a Polymarket event with 7 open outcomes. Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA leads at 92%, ahead of Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley at 7%. Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA is up 36 points over the last 24 hours and unchanged over the past week. Traders have put $10K through the event so far, including $8,976 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on October 31, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled October 30. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled October 30 by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in #2 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 30)?
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA is the favorite at 92%, followed by Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley at 7% and expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan at 0.5%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week?
Polymarket traders give Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA a 92% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.09 (American −1076): $1 staked on Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA returns about $1.09 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 36 points.