chaoticgod has made $1,288 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #70,653 all time by profit, with 1.1M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1,288
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.1M
- Portfolio value
- $7,905
- Profit this month
- +$940
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 49%
How chaoticgod has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 97 (49%) ended in profit and 102 in a loss, for +$449 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 64%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $7,870 together, the biggest is “Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?” (Yes) at 27% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$4,575
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$2,217
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Mar 5, 2026
+$1,093
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
No · entry 82% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$561
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$492
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$464
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Apr 25, 2026
+$397
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$349
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 90% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$282
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
No · entry 96% · closed May 31, 2026
+$274
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
No · entry 12% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$1,587
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Apr 23, 2026
−$1,497
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 18% · closed Apr 7, 2026
−$1,258
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$1,010
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 11% · closed May 16, 2026
−$898
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$580
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No · entry 85% · closed May 24, 2026
−$440
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Apr 21, 2026
−$368
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Yes · entry 15% · closed May 27, 2026
−$366
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
No · entry 27% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$340
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 36%, now 41% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,149
+$259 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 86%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,448
−$99 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 16%, now 15% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$849
−$55 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 29%, now 55% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$817
+$377 P&L
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 79%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$604
−$36 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 52%, now 74% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$370
+$108 P&L
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?
No · entry 73%, now 77% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$316
+$14 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 23%, now 25% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$295
+$23 P&L
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
No · entry 85%, now 88% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$294
+$9 P&L
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No · entry 37%, now 44% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$159
+$24 P&L
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
No · entry 17%, now 41% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$156
+$89 P&L
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$151
+$13 P&L
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No · entry 27%, now 28% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$140
+$5 P&L
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 15%, now 12% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$98
−$28 P&L
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?
No · entry 27%, now 39% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Recent trades
Sold No at 92%
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Sold No at 93%
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Sold No at 93%
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Sold Yes at 29%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
Sold Yes at 30%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
Sold No at 93%
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Sold No at 91%
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Sold No at 93%
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Sold No at 87%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Sold No at 87%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Sold No at 87%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Bought No at 80%
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Bought No at 80%
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Bought No at 80%
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Sold No at 81%
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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