conherence has made $3,398 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #34,956 all time by profit, with 388K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$3,398
- All-time volume (shares)
- 388K
- Portfolio value
- $33K
- Profit this month
- +$1,701
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 75%
How conherence has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 149 (75%) ended in profit and 51 in a loss, for +$11K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 58%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 81 of the 200 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $25K together, the biggest is “Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?” (No) at 23% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
No · entry 36% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$3,104
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$2,037
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 28% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$1,893
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No · entry 10% · closed Jul 31, 2026
+$1,387
Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Sep 7, 2026
+$1,034
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Jul 28, 2026
+$855
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
No · entry 26% · closed Sep 17, 2026
+$793
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Jul 24, 2026
+$715
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$544
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
No · entry 89% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$529
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$1,957
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
No · entry 6% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$232
Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes?
No · entry 68% · closed Sep 21, 2026
−$193
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?
No · entry 79% · closed Sep 1, 2026
−$186
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Aug 5, 2026
−$151
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
No · entry 48% · closed Sep 21, 2026
−$99
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Sep 1, 2026
−$70
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Sep 21, 2026
−$66
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
No · entry 34% · closed Oct 20, 2026
−$62
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
Yes · entry 31% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$58
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
No · entry 98%, now 99% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,695
+$38 P&L
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes · entry 55%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,932
+$778 P&L
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Yes · entry 26%, now 29% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,172
+$227 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 65%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,533
−$13 P&L
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$1,340
+$9 P&L
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$1,338
+$25 P&L
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
No · entry 91%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$1,337
+$115 P&L
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No · entry 89%, now 88% · market ended
$1,171
−$14 P&L
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No · entry 83%, now 84% · market ended
$1,118
+$15 P&L
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 66%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,113
−$20 P&L
Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election?
No · entry 93%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$890
+$38 P&L
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No · entry 58%, now 61% · market ended
$805
+$35 P&L
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
No · entry 88%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$527
+$22 P&L
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
No · entry 93%, now 90% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$518
−$15 P&L
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?
No · entry 94%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$458
+$18 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at 67%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 37%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 69%
Will RZP-Zehut win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Bought No at 71%
Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Bought No at 76%
Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Bought No at 90%
Will RZP-Zehut win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Bought No at 92%
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Sold No at >99%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Sold No at 1%
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Sold No at 1%
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Sold No at 99%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Sold No at 99%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Sold No at 1%
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Sold No at 1%
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Sold No at 99%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.