MTD has made $36K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,872 all time by profit, with 4.4M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$36K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.4M
- Portfolio value
- $54K
- Profit this month
- −$136
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 64%
How MTD has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 126 (64%) ended in profit and 71 in a loss, for −$25K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 73%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 10 largest open positions listed below, worth $54K together, the biggest is “Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?” (Yes) at 37% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Aug 6, 2024
+$13K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$13K
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines · entry 75% · closed Apr 7, 2026
+$6,223
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats
Arizona Wildcats · entry 69% · closed Mar 29, 2026
+$5,442
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Yes · entry 99% · closed May 9, 2026
+$4,909
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines · entry 78% · closed Mar 30, 2026
+$4,324
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$4,197
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$3,332
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
No · entry 74% · closed May 9, 2026
+$3,124
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$3,028
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$9,542
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Apr 26, 2026
−$6,199
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Yes · entry 51% · closed May 20, 2026
−$4,065
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$3,242
Will Roy Cooper be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Jul 29, 2024
−$2,909
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
No · entry 56% · closed May 20, 2026
−$2,825
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$1,496
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines · entry 87% · closed Mar 28, 2026
−$1,295
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Yes · entry 6% · closed May 2, 2026
−$1,105
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$1,067
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 67%, now 67% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
−$180 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 67%, now 69% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$299 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 82%, now 82% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,200
+$0 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 93%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,440
−$70 P&L
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 4%, now 9% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,805
+$1,596 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
No · entry 82%, now 82% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,640
+$0 P&L
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Yes · entry 73%, now 21% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$687
−$1,749 P&L
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes · entry 78%, now 18% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$383
−$1,330 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 85%, now 81% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$161
−$9 P&L
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 15%, now 15% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$154
+$1 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 85%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Sold Yes at 74%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 75%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 82%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Bought No at 82%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 82%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 93%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Sold Yes at 17%
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Bought No at 67%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Bought No at 67%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 67%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Sold Yes at 18%
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Sold Yes at 18%
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Bought No at 71%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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