Roflan-ludoman has made $196K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,064 all time by profit, with 31M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$196K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 31M
- Portfolio value
- $127K
- Profit this month
- +$3,486
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 61%
How Roflan-ludoman has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 121 (61%) ended in profit and 77 in a loss, for +$17K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 56%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $115K together, the biggest is “Another Fed rate hike in 2026?” (Yes) at 24% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$99K
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$70K
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
No · entry 41% · closed Jun 2, 2025
+$67K
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
No · entry 9% · closed Dec 30, 2025
+$54K
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$40K
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
No · entry 51% · closed Jun 28, 2025
+$36K
No airdrop in 2025?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Jan 14, 2026
+$33K
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Yes · entry 0.7% · closed Jan 5, 2026
+$33K
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 6% · closed Feb 25, 2026
+$32K
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Feb 25, 2026
+$31K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 80% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$79K
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 93% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$75K
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
No · entry 61% · closed Jun 2, 2025
−$66K
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 77% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$58K
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Dec 30, 2025
−$50K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
No · entry 49% · closed Jun 28, 2025
−$37K
No airdrop in 2025?
No · entry 91% · closed Dec 30, 2025
−$32K
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Feb 25, 2026
−$31K
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
No · entry 95% · closed Dec 25, 2025
−$31K
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 94% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$28K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 78%, now 77% · ends Dec 10, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
−$523 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 78%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$550 P&L
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 54%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$4,801 P&L
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 86%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$1,262 P&L
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,875
+$255 P&L
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 19%, now 23% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,228
+$863 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Yes · entry 27%, now 41% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,807
+$1,563 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Yes · entry 0.6%, now 22% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,579
+$4,461 P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 66%, now 34% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,165
−$3,992 P&L
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes · entry 62%, now 86% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,890
+$1,074 P&L
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 71%, now 74% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,700
+$150 P&L
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Yes · entry 22%, now 21% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,061
−$288 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 71%, now 81% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,567
+$294 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 87% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,163
−$38 P&L
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 9%, now 11% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,120
+$243 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 23%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Sold Yes at 20%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Sold Yes at 20%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Sold Yes at 23%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Bought Yes at 39%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 39%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 39%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 39%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 39%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 39%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 39%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 39%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 39%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 39%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Bought Yes at 59%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.