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SquirrelTheMerchant

0xfb59…83f9 · Joined March 8, 2026

#2,232 all time#672,385 this monthView on Polymarket

SquirrelTheMerchant has made $87K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,232 all time by profit, with 2.4M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$87K
All-time volume (shares)
2.4M
Portfolio value
$114K
Profit this month
−$6,480
Win rate (last 191 closed)
63%

How SquirrelTheMerchant has traded

Across the 191 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 121 (63%) ended in profit and 70 in a loss, for +$98K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 52%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $93K together, the biggest is “Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” (No) at 11% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 47% · closed Sep 16, 2026

    +$54K

  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

    No · entry 86% · closed May 30, 2026

    +$13K

  • Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

    Yes · entry 33% · closed Sep 3, 2026

    +$6,929

  • US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?

    Yes · entry 83% · closed Oct 24, 2026

    +$4,602

  • Fed rate hike in 2026?

    Yes · entry 53% · closed Sep 16, 2026

    +$4,050

  • Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

    Yes · entry 9% · closed Jul 12, 2026

    +$3,431

  • Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 16?

    Down · entry 28% · closed Apr 17, 2026

    +$1,936

  • Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

    Yes · entry 74% · closed Sep 16, 2026

    +$1,876

  • Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

    No · entry 82% · closed May 22, 2026

    +$1,673

  • Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

    Yes · entry 54% · closed Aug 18, 2026

    +$1,461

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 21?

    Down · entry 46% · closed Jul 12, 2026

    −$1,853

  • S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?

    Down · entry 33% · closed Jul 12, 2026

    −$893

  • Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

    No · entry 67% · closed Oct 15, 2026

    −$651

  • Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

    No · entry 86% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    −$568

  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

    Yes · entry 25% · closed Oct 6, 2026

    −$485

  • S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?

    Down · entry 51% · closed May 20, 2026

    −$479

  • Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

    No · entry 67% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    −$463

  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

    Yes · entry 29% · closed May 30, 2026

    −$455

  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?

    No · entry 18% · closed Jul 12, 2026

    −$425

  • S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 21?

    Down · entry 24% · closed Jul 12, 2026

    −$391

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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