polca is down $16K in realized results on Polymarket, with 260K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$16K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 260K
- Portfolio value
- $19K
- Profit this month
- −$768
- Win rate (last 28 closed)
- 82%
How polca has traded
Across all 28 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 23 (82%) ended in profit and 5 in a loss, for −$16K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 87%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $19K together, the biggest is “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No) at 71% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
No · entry 86% · closed May 9, 2026
+$480
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 63% · closed May 9, 2026
+$285
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
No · entry 97% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$170
Will Extended launch a token by March 31 2026?
No · entry 93% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$159
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
No · entry 95% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$124
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 99% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$113
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
No · entry 98% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$65
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
No · entry 99% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$63
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?
No · entry >99% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$49
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No · entry 87% · closed May 9, 2026
+$41
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 80% · closed May 9, 2026
−$11K
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
No · entry 36% · closed Jan 3, 2026
−$6,083
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Mar 29, 2026
−$280
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 17% · closed Sep 9, 2026
−$137
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
No · entry 38% · closed Oct 6, 2026
−$31
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50%, now 80% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$5,034 P&L
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,385
−$5,034 P&L
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
No · entry 67%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$437
+$135 P&L
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 12%, now 36% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$296
+$194 P&L
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?
No · entry 67%, now 63% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$238
−$17 P&L
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 25%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$217
+$156 P&L
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$200
+$5 P&L
Will Fhenix launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 83%, now 79% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$141
−$8 P&L
Will Beezie launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 42%, now 73% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$141
+$60 P&L
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 57%, now 63% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$128
+$11 P&L
Will Beezie launch a token by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 28%, now 64% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$86
+$49 P&L
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No · entry 3%, now 2% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$73
−$54 P&L
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No · entry 13%, now 1% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$70
−$656 P&L
Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No · entry 15%, now 33% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$43
+$23 P&L
Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch
No · entry 17%, now 18% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Recent trades
Sold No at 19%
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 19%
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 19%
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 30%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Sold No at 30%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Bought No at 11%
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Bought No at 17%
Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch
Bought No at 83%
Will Fhenix launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 22%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Bought No at 29%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Bought No at 27%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?
Bought No at 42%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 1%
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?
$1
Sold No at 2%
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?
$1
Sold No at 2%
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?
$15
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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