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Single-Challenge

0xf80e…2af8 · Joined July 4, 2024

#23,169 all time#647,492 this monthView on Polymarket

Single-Challenge has made $5,720 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #23,169 all time by profit, with 190K shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 23, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$5,720
All-time volume (shares)
190K
Portfolio value
$44K
Profit this month
−$167
Win rate (last 125 closed)
63%

How Single-Challenge has traded

Across all 125 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 79 (63%) ended in profit and 46 in a loss, for +$6,623 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 53%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $37K together, the biggest is “US recession by end of 2026?” (No) at 18% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?

    Yes · entry 31% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    +$1,126

  • Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?

    Yes · entry 37% · closed Nov 12, 2024

    +$851

  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

    Yes · entry 27% · closed Sep 15, 2026

    +$803

  • What will be the next Fed rate change?

    Hike · entry 75% · closed Sep 16, 2026

    +$746

  • Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

    Yes · entry 73% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    +$730

  • Ethereum all time high in 2024?

    No · entry 53% · closed Jan 19, 2025

    +$723

  • Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?

    Yes · entry 71% · closed Feb 25, 2026

    +$442

  • Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

    No · entry 67% · closed Jan 1, 2026

    +$440

  • Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?

    No · entry 71% · closed Aug 31, 2026

    +$404

  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?

    Yes · entry 71% · closed Aug 10, 2026

    +$404

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

    No · entry 75% · closed Dec 6, 2024

    −$615

  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?

    Yes · entry 16% · closed Aug 31, 2026

    −$498

  • US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

    Yes · entry 7% · closed Aug 7, 2026

    −$444

  • Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 3?

    Down · entry 30% · closed Aug 7, 2026

    −$300

  • Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?

    No · entry 30% · closed Feb 18, 2025

    −$258

  • Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 10 2026?

    Yes · entry 89% · closed Aug 16, 2026

    −$255

  • Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 46% · closed Nov 12, 2024

    −$228

  • Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

    Yes · entry 32% · closed Mar 16, 2026

    −$200

  • Will Jake Paul walk out to Real American by Rick Derringer?

    No · entry 44% · closed Aug 7, 2026

    −$176

  • Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?

    No · entry 57% · closed Aug 7, 2026

    −$174

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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