poli.monaco has made $28K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #5,961 all time by profit, with 414K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 22, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$28K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 414K
- Portfolio value
- $42K
- Profit this month
- +$1,741
- Win rate (last 53 closed)
- 74%
How poli.monaco has traded
Across all 53 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 39 (74%) ended in profit and 14 in a loss, for +$38K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 71%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $42K together, the biggest is “Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?” (No) at 28% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 36% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$25K

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
No · entry 40% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$9,408

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
No · entry 74% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$2,724

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$2,347

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Apr 25, 2026
+$1,736

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
No · entry 83% · closed May 16, 2026
+$1,258

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
No · entry 57% · closed Jul 10, 2026
+$1,164

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
No · entry 92% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$1,101

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
No · entry 70% · closed Apr 12, 2026
+$900

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$896
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
No · entry 86% · closed Jul 10, 2026
−$6,257

Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?
No · entry 92% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$2,578

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
No · entry 59% · closed Apr 17, 2026
−$2,124

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 74% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$2,082

Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Yes · entry 70% · closed May 16, 2026
−$1,506

Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?
No · entry 83% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$716

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$334

Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 86% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$276

Curfew in a major French city by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 76% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$138

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Aug 19, 2026
−$115
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 30%, now 59% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$5,704 P&L

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50%, now 80% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,003
+$2,995 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 83%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,037
−$187 P&L

France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 99% · ends Nov 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,935
+$60 P&L

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Yes · entry 89%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,883
+$126 P&L

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,013
−$2,995 P&L

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
No · entry 62%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,502
−$3,939 P&L

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
No · entry 62%, now 19% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,349
−$3,159 P&L

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No · entry 44%, now 45% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,272
+$35 P&L

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes · entry 50%, now 43% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$691
−$118 P&L

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes · entry 43%, now 43% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$259
−$4 P&L

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
No · entry 26%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$188
+$136 P&L

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No · entry 42%, now 43% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$163
+$3 P&L

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 21%, now 5% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$60
−$177 P&L

Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Yes · entry 55%, now 18% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$42
−$89 P&L
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 0.3%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?

Bought Yes at 89%
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Bought Yes at 89%
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Bought Yes at 89%
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Sold No at 26%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at 18%
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?

Sold No at 18%
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?

Sold No at 21%
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?

Sold No at 21%
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?

Sold No at 22%
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?

Sold No at 21%
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?

Sold No at 22%
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?

Sold No at 17%
Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?

Sold No at 18%
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?

Sold No at 18%
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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