AlexiosV has made $16K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #9,808 all time by profit, with 3.3M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$16K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.3M
- Portfolio value
- $83K
- Profit this month
- +$551
- Win rate (last 194 closed)
- 75%
How AlexiosV has traded
Across the 194 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 145 (75%) ended in profit and 49 in a loss, for +$7,932 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 68%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $76K together, the biggest is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?” (No) at 38% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Yes · entry 96% · closed May 18, 2026
+$1,341
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No · entry 93% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$953
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
No · entry 87% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$889
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Jun 17, 2026
+$817
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Apr 29, 2026
+$654
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$618
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$607
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 84% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$492
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 13, 2026
+$477
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
No · entry 98% · closed May 18, 2026
+$443
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$1,336
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No · entry 46% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$1,172
Will Meta reach $750 in January?
No · entry 99% · closed Jan 31, 2026
−$523
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Aug 31, 2026
−$517
Will Meta reach $720 in January?
No · entry 97% · closed Jan 29, 2026
−$495
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$420
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$391
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No · entry 88% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$335
Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?
No · entry 72% · closed Sep 30, 2026
−$259
Will XRP reach $3.00 in February?
No · entry 99% · closed Mar 1, 2026
−$102
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
No · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$29K
+$181 P&L
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,393
+$127 P&L
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 22%, now 72% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,826
+$4,036 P&L
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,632
+$254 P&L
GTA VI released by November 30?
Yes · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,369
+$49 P&L
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No · entry 95%, now 95% · ends Nov 20, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,364
+$7 P&L
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,312
+$35 P&L
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,129
+$21 P&L
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 88% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,763
−$6 P&L
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?
No · entry 96%, now 99% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,722
+$66 P&L
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
No · entry 74%, now 26% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,851
−$3,421 P&L
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,768
−$5 P&L
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 75%, now 77% · ends Dec 10, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,530
+$27 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 80%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,208
+$5 P&L
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 84%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,011
−$40 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 91%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Bought No at 90%
US recession by end of 2026?
Bought No at 91%
Iran leadership change by November 30?
Bought No at 80%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Bought No at 95%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Bought Yes at 20%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 20%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 20%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 73%
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Bought Yes at 10%
New pandemic before 2028?
Bought No at 93%
Plague case in US by December 31?
Sold No at 91%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Sold No at >99%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
Bought No at 22%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Bought No at 22%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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