marcozhou has made $596 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #106,499 all time by profit, with 188K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 16, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$596
- All-time volume (shares)
- 188K
- Portfolio value
- $8,215
- Profit this month
- +$78
- Win rate (last 28 closed)
- 50%
How marcozhou has traded
Across all 28 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 14 (50%) ended in profit and 14 in a loss, for +$998 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 38%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 3 largest open positions listed below, worth $8,215 together, the biggest is “Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?” (No) at 69% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Aug 20, 2026
+$839
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Jan 25, 2026
+$378
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$257
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 82% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$247
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Apr 28, 2026
+$237
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Apr 21, 2026
+$83
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$62
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Jan 4, 2026
+$55
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Sep 17, 2025
+$18
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
No · entry >99% · closed Apr 2, 2026
+$11
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
No · entry 92% · closed Mar 2, 2026
−$496
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Aug 20, 2026
−$482
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 85% · closed Jun 16, 2026
−$135
Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Jun 23, 2025
−$29
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 9% · closed May 19, 2025
−$22
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 90% · closed Sep 12, 2026
−$13
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$8
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$6
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.8% · closed Aug 1, 2025
−$5
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Aug 16, 2025
−$5
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No · entry 98%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,629
−$71 P&L
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,560
+$38 P&L
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 4%, now 3% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Recent trades
Bought No at 97%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?
Bought No at 98%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
$5,700
Sold No at 89%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
$483
Sold No at 96%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
$1,568
Sold No at 96%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
$154
Sold No at 96%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
$927
Sold No at 97%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
$2,108
Sold No at 93%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
$503
Bought No at 97%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
$7,345
Bought No at >99%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
$7,000
Sold Yes at 62%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
$993
Sold Yes at 8%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
$400
Sold No at 90%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
$2,780
Sold Yes at 8%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
$400
Sold Yes at 53%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
$55
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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