thebetter1234
0xf501…8852 · Joined February 3, 2025
thebetter1234 has made $6,359 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #21,396 all time by profit, with 524K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Sep 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$6,359
- All-time volume (shares)
- 524K
- Portfolio value
- $41K
- Profit this month
- −$455
- Win rate (last 97 closed)
- 67%
How thebetter1234 has traded
Across all 97 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 65 (67%) ended in profit and 32 in a loss, for +$7,085 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 68%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $39K together, the biggest is “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?” (Anthropic) at 16% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Jul 30, 2025
+$7,114
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Nov 17, 2025
+$6,220
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
No · entry 96% · closed Mar 14, 2026
+$2,408
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
No · entry 91% · closed Nov 5, 2025
+$2,175
Will JD Vance say "Million", "Billion", and/or "Trillion" 5+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?
Yes · entry 53% · closed May 29, 2025
+$1,411
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Jun 1, 2025
+$1,098
Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Yes · entry 71% · closed May 30, 2025
+$922
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 68% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$812
Boxing: Abby vs. RoRo
Abby · entry 56% · closed Jul 27, 2025
+$798
Will Sung Jinwoo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?
Yes · entry 56% · closed May 25, 2025
+$747
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Apr 27, 2026
−$4,859
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
No · entry 51% · closed Dec 25, 2025
−$4,046
Will Eric Adams drop out?
No · entry 52% · closed Apr 27, 2026
−$4,045
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
No · entry 48% · closed Dec 3, 2025
−$3,235
Trump negative approval before April?
No · entry 50% · closed Mar 8, 2025
−$1,318
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?
Yes · entry 71% · closed May 26, 2025
−$1,298
Trump approval >40% on June 1?
No · entry 27% · closed Jun 11, 2025
−$820
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$640
Trump negative approval before May?
No · entry 33% · closed Mar 8, 2025
−$623
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during events with South African President on May 21?
Yes · entry 60% · closed May 23, 2025
−$600
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic · entry 94%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,371
+$44 P&L
US recession by end of 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 92% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,076
+$79 P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
No · entry 93%, now 96% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,118
+$113 P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No · entry 91%, now 95% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,752
+$151 P&L
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,416
+$4 P&L
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,665
+$17 P&L
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?
No · entry 97%, now 99% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,604
+$32 P&L
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes · entry 80%, now 62% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,480
−$720 P&L
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?
No · entry 90%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,006
+$131 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,827
−$1 P&L
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
Google · entry 72%, now 85% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,156
+$172 P&L
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.?
No · entry 93%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$926
+$20 P&L
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?
No · entry 89%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$817
+$60 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$719
+$3 P&L
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
No · entry 93%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$482
+$18 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 90%
US recession by end of 2026?
$273
Bought No at 90%
US recession by end of 2026?
$717
Bought No at 98%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
$404
Bought Anthropic at 94%
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$94
Bought Anthropic at 94%
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$94
Bought Anthropic at 94%
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$1,512
Bought Anthropic at 94%
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$4,627
Bought No at 90%
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
$5
Bought No at 90%
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
$5
Bought No at 90%
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
$5
Bought No at 90%
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
$5
Bought No at 82%
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
$82
Bought No at 83%
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
$289
Bought No at 93%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
$47
Bought No at 93%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
$199
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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