Certify0148
0xf44d…60af · Joined November 6, 2024
Certify0148 has made $18K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #8,872 all time by profit, with 1.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Aug 14, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$18K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.0M
- Portfolio value
- $7,537
- Profit this month
- −$1,215
- Win rate (last 107 closed)
- 60%
How Certify0148 has traded
Across all 107 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 64 (60%) ended in profit and 43 in a loss, for +$20K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 51%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 4 largest open positions listed below, worth $7,537 together, the biggest is “Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 40% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
No · entry 59% · closed Nov 14, 2025
+$9,838
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$4,568
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
No · entry 64% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$3,567
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 33% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$2,881
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Dec 10, 2025
+$2,837
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition
Yes · entry 76% · closed Jan 4, 2026
+$1,802
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Feb 19, 2026
+$1,545
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
No · entry 84% · closed Jan 3, 2026
+$1,263
OpenAI browser by September 30?
No · entry 67% · closed Oct 14, 2025
+$1,104
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
No · entry 73% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$810
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Mar 12, 2026
−$4,213
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Dec 31, 2025
−$3,403
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Jul 9, 2026
−$2,530
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
No · entry 51% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$2,130
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Dec 12, 2025
−$2,019
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?
No · entry 86% · closed Feb 16, 2026
−$1,479
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Yes · entry 61% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$840
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 24% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$599
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Apr 3, 2026
−$455
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Dec 12, 2025
−$428
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 74%, now 76% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,994
+$59 P&L
Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes · entry 16%, now 5% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,277
−$4,863 P&L
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Yes · entry 62%, now 11% · ends Jan 4, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,744
−$8,575 P&L
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Yes · entry 42%, now 9% · ends Aug 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$522
−$2,068 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at 97%
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
$94
Sold No at 97%
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
$5
Sold No at 97%
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
$368
Sold No at 97%
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
$133
Sold No at 97%
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
$134
Sold No at 97%
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
$11
Sold No at 90%
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
$566
Bought Yes at 90%
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
$1,792
Sold No at 87%
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
$1,635
Sold No at 87%
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
$4
Sold No at 87%
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
$8
Sold No at 97%
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
$346
Sold No at 89%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
$107
Sold No at 89%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
$9
Sold No at 89%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
$125
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.