
Outsid3rTrading
0xf1ef…8cd6 · Joined November 15, 2024
Outsid3rTrading has made $39K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,565 all time by profit, with 16M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$39K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 16M
- Portfolio value
- $302K
- Profit this month
- −$76K
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 94%
How Outsid3rTrading has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 185 (94%) ended in profit and 12 in a loss, for +$494K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 56%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 158 of the 197 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $210K together, the biggest is “Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” (Yes) at 15% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$71K

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$67K

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Cavs · entry 23% · closed May 18, 2026
+$24K

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
Spirit · entry 64% · closed Sep 6, 2026
+$22K

76ers vs. Celtics
76ers · entry 29% · closed May 3, 2026
+$18K

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Team Spirit · entry 57% · closed Aug 23, 2026
+$12K

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Sep 14, 2026
+$11K

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Team Yandex · entry 37% · closed Aug 21, 2026
+$10K

Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
Mavericks · entry 11% · closed Mar 16, 2026
+$10K

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs
TEAM VISION · entry 62% · closed Aug 21, 2026
+$8,560
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
TEAM VISION · entry 56% · closed Aug 23, 2026
−$38K

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$22K

Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Sep 7, 2026
−$21K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
No · entry 76% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$18K

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 74% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$15K

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$15K

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 9% · closed May 7, 2026
−$14K

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Iron Wing · entry 40% · closed Aug 23, 2026
−$12K

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?
No · entry 55% · closed Feb 25, 2026
−$11K

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?
No · entry 54% · closed Feb 25, 2026
−$11K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 74%, now 73% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$31K
−$392 P&L

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 86%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
+$1,650 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 83%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
+$2,650 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 81%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
−$189 P&L

Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes · entry 19%, now 24% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$2,848 P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 91%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$600 P&L

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$212 P&L

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 58%, now 53% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$9,612
−$870 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,250
+$50 P&L

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No · entry 88%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,712
+$757 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 74%, now 82% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,199
+$800 P&L

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 80%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,450
−$544 P&L

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,334
+$49 P&L

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5
Under · entry 55%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$6,996
+$3,146 P&L

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes · entry 82%, now 85% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,749
+$276 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 74%
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Under at 55%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Bought Under at 55%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Bought Under at 55%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Bought Under at 55%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Bought Under at 55%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Bought Under at 55%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Bought Under at 55%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Bought Under at 55%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Bought Under at 55%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Bought Under at 55%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Bought Under at 55%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Bought Under at 55%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Bought Under at 55%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Bought Under at 55%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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