forgetfuldory
0xf1e1…6f6f · Joined September 21, 2026
forgetfuldory has made $21K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #7,617 all time by profit, with 367K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 23, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$21K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 367K
- Portfolio value
- $35K
- Profit this month
- −$3,145
- Win rate (last 6 closed)
- 50%
How forgetfuldory has traded
Across all 6 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 3 (50%) ended in profit and 3 in a loss, for +$19K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 45%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 6 of the 6 are about economy and the Fed, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $35K together, the biggest is “Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” (Yes) at 39% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 53% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$15K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$3,488

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$1,537
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.7% · closed Sep 22, 2026
−$674

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Oct 12, 2026
−$173

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Oct 14, 2026
−$6
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 97%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
−$67 P&L

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 86%, now 77% · ends Dec 10, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,468
−$1,150 P&L

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
No · entry 82%, now 78% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,363
−$398 P&L

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 60%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,039
+$748 P&L

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
No · entry 42%, now 28% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,259
−$614 P&L

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$470
+$15 P&L

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
No · entry 79%, now 80% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$346
+$2 P&L

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
No · entry >99%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$319
−$2 P&L

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 92%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$312
+$9 P&L

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Yes · entry 52%, now 70% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$176
+$46 P&L

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.7%, now 0.4% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$134
−$126 P&L

Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Yes · entry 19%, now 2% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$102
−$1,028 P&L

Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
No · entry 90%, now 82% · ends Jan 27, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$89
−$10 P&L

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 1%, now 1% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$85
+$15 P&L

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
No · entry 40%, now 26% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$84
−$47 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 79%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Bought No at 79%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Bought No at 79%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Bought Yes at 1%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Bought Yes at 3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Bought Yes at 3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Bought Yes at 5%
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Sold Yes at 7%
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Bought Yes at 0.1%
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Bought Yes at 4%
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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