V1nch0u is down $8,382 in realized results on Polymarket, with 4.3M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$8,382
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.3M
- Portfolio value
- $77K
- Profit this month
- +$11K
- Win rate (last 173 closed)
- 87%
How V1nch0u has traded
Across the 173 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 151 (87%) ended in profit and 22 in a loss, for +$2,640 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 98%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 10 largest open positions listed below, worth $77K together, the biggest is “Will there be no Hormuz agreement?” (Yes) at 45% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 88% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$9,617
Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on August 27?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Aug 28, 2026
+$7,103
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$7,002
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No · entry 89% · closed Aug 13, 2026
+$4,511
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
No · entry 88% · closed Aug 21, 2026
+$4,265
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
No · entry 90% · closed Oct 15, 2026
+$4,223
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
No · entry 88% · closed Sep 22, 2026
+$2,270
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
No · entry 91% · closed Aug 19, 2026
+$2,241
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
No · entry 94% · closed Aug 16, 2026
+$1,590
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
No · entry 78% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$1,342
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
No · entry 99% · closed Aug 4, 2026
−$23K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 85% · closed Jun 14, 2026
−$8,914
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$8,142
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on August 28?
No · entry >99% · closed Aug 28, 2026
−$3,995
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?
No · entry 98% · closed Jun 23, 2026
−$3,470
Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on September 20?
No · entry 99% · closed Sep 20, 2026
−$3,218
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
No · entry 66% · closed Jun 12, 2026
−$2,765
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 20?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 20, 2026
−$2,359
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No · entry 83% · closed Jun 18, 2026
−$2,283
Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 26°C on September 16?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$947
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Yes · entry 90%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$34K
+$694 P&L
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,310
+$58 P&L
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?
No · entry 93%, now 93% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,822
−$5 P&L
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
No · entry 94%, now 94% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,264
−$6 P&L
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 93%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,243
−$600 P&L
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 92%, now 74% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,905
−$1,212 P&L
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,692
+$3 P&L
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,226
+$3 P&L
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?
No · entry 90%, now 94% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,044
+$50 P&L
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No · entry 95%, now 94% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$248
−$4 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 95%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 95%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 95%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 95%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 95%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 95%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 95%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 95%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 94%
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?
Bought No at 93%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?
Bought No at 94%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 94%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
Bought No at 93%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?
Bought Yes at 93%
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Bought No at 94%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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