kafuchino
0xefe9…7aaa · Joined September 17, 2025
kafuchino is down $3,206 in realized results on Polymarket, with 447K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$3,206
- All-time volume (shares)
- 447K
- Portfolio value
- $7,411
- Profit this month
- −$3,307
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 33%
How kafuchino has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 65 (33%) ended in profit and 135 in a loss, for −$3,079 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 31%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 10 largest open positions listed below, worth $7,411 together, the biggest is “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?” (Yes) at 65% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Jun 16, 2026
+$2,327
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$2,151
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5
Over · entry 12% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$1,755
Egypt leading at halftime?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$1,300
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
No · entry 50% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$747
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
No · entry 58% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$705
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Apr 2, 2026
+$500
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?
No · entry 50% · closed Aug 18, 2026
+$490
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Mar 23, 2026
+$397
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score
Yes · entry 61% · closed Jun 20, 2026
+$369
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Eagles vs. Bears
Eagles · entry 68% · closed Sep 29, 2026
−$1,563
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 39% · closed Sep 20, 2026
−$1,302
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Sep 25, 2026
−$1,285
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$946
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Sep 20, 2026
−$881
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Mar 7, 2026
−$767
Panthers vs. Browns
Panthers · entry 56% · closed Sep 27, 2026
−$624
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Feb 3, 2026
−$595
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Jun 4, 2026
−$593
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 1 Austria?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Jun 28, 2026
−$554
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 94%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,797
−$26 P&L
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 99%, now 99% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,483
+$4 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?
Yes · entry 34%, now 54% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$363
+$131 P&L
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 92%, now 98% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$293
+$17 P&L
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 89%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$191
+$13 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?
Yes · entry 9%, now 6% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$116
−$72 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
Yes · entry 18%, now 23% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$111
+$20 P&L
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 7%, now 5% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$35
−$11 P&L
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
No · entry 37%, now 41% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 in October?
Yes · entry 37%, now 3% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 94%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 7%
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?
Bought Yes at 94%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 99%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 99%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 78%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 78%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 17%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
Bought Yes at 7%
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?
Bought Yes at 9%
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?
Sold No at 8%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 37%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Bought No at 7%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 7%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 48%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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