
macrosteaks
0xefac…c9a1 · Joined November 6, 2024
macrosteaks is down $6,759 in realized results on Polymarket, with 19M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$6,759
- All-time volume (shares)
- 19M
- Portfolio value
- $369K
- Profit this month
- +$4,157
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 58%
How macrosteaks has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 116 (58%) ended in profit and 84 in a loss, for −$1,015 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 46%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $83K together, the biggest is “Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?” (No) at 9% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Jun 8, 2026
+$24K

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 34% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$19K

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?
No · entry 51% · closed Jan 29, 2026
+$14K

Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Jan 21, 2025
+$14K

Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-04?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Aug 5, 2026
+$12K

US government shutdown Saturday?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Feb 4, 2026
+$11K

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Jun 28, 2025
+$9,953

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Jun 24, 2026
+$9,297

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
No · entry 16% · closed Aug 14, 2026
+$8,724

Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Yes · entry 60% · closed May 27, 2026
+$8,130
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
Yes · entry 47% · closed May 17, 2025
−$18K

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Aug 2, 2026
−$16K

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 44% · closed Jul 21, 2026
−$16K

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Jul 21, 2026
−$13K

Government shutdown on Saturday?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Feb 15, 2026
−$12K

US recession in 2025?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$9,826

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
No · entry 26% · closed Aug 15, 2026
−$9,167

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
No · entry 93% · closed May 18, 2026
−$8,628

ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia
Australia · entry 55% · closed Jun 14, 2026
−$7,766

Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?
Yes · entry 43% · closed May 21, 2025
−$7,749
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No · entry 88%, now 90% · market ended
$7,319
+$125 P&L

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 69%, now 74% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,176
+$412 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 98% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,354
+$114 P&L

Will Army Black Knights Win the 2026 American Conference?
No · entry 88%, now 92% · ends Dec 20, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,915
+$284 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 31%, now 38% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,678
+$1,024 P&L

Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?
No · entry 60%, now 80% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,622
+$1,398 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 30%, now 37% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,550
+$1,101 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
No · entry 47%, now 33% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,426
−$2,346 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 42%, now 35% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,168
−$1,122 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 48%, now 32% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,104
−$2,748 P&L

Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?
No · entry 93%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,059
+$189 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 38%, now 38% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,733
−$57 P&L

Will Texas Tech Red Raiders Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?
No · entry 59%, now 83% · ends Dec 19, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,636
+$1,295 P&L

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Yes · entry 73%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,572
+$1,204 P&L

Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?
No · entry 95%, now 99% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,337
+$154 P&L
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 99%
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Sold Yes at 35%
Will Cristian Mungiu be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?

Sold Yes at 99%
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
Bought No at 95%
Will Iowa Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?
Bought No at 93%
Will Houston Cougars Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?
Sold Yes at 36%
Will William Contreras win the 2026 World Series MVP?

Sold Yes at 72%
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Sold Yes at 69%
Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
Sold No at 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?

Bought Yes at 57%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 15%
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North?

Sold Yes at 66%
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Sold No at 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?

Sold Yes at 66%
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?

Bought No at 84%
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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