0xef81…ac8c is down $230 in realized results on Polymarket, with 33K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 16, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$230
- All-time volume (shares)
- 33K
- Portfolio value
- $813
- Profit this month
- −$33
- Win rate (last 8 closed)
- 25%
How 0xef81…ac8c has traded
Across all 8 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 2 (25%) ended in profit and 6 in a loss, for −$235 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 68%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 6 of the 8 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 1 largest open positions listed below, worth $813 together, the biggest is “Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” (No) at 100% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 89% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$8
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No · entry 84% · closed Sep 20, 2026
+$1
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No · entry 69% · closed Apr 18, 2026
−$143
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Apr 26, 2026
−$47
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 77% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Jun 24, 2026
−$11
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$3
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
No · entry 17% · closed Apr 23, 2026
−$0
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$813
+$2 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at >99%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Sold No at >99%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Bought No at 98%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
$578
Bought No at 98%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
$393
Sold No at 85%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$993
Bought No at 84%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$986
Sold No at 92%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$400
Sold No at 91%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$37
Bought No at 88%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
$420
Sold No at 73%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$528
Sold No at 74%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$339
Sold No at 79%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
$514
Sold Yes at 21%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
$0
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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