carkiller530 has made $16K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #9,972 all time by profit, with 231K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 11, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$16K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 231K
- Portfolio value
- $44K
- Profit this month
- −$4,092
- Win rate (last 18 closed)
- 94%
How carkiller530 has traded
Across all 18 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 17 (94%) ended in profit and 1 in a loss, for +$16K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 72%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 17 of the 18 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $43K together, the biggest is “Trump out as President before 2027?” (No) at 26% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Nov 7, 2024
+$5,183
Will a Republican win Florida US Senate Election?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$5,094
Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?
No · entry 57% · closed Nov 7, 2024
+$1,975
Will a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election?
No · entry 83% · closed Nov 7, 2024
+$1,620
Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$1,435
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$656
Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$615
Trump fires campaign manager?
No · entry 67% · closed Nov 5, 2024
+$467
Senate control after 2024 election?
Republicans · entry 72% · closed Nov 8, 2024
+$386
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Yes · entry 33% · closed May 27, 2026
+$329
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Feb 25, 2026
−$2,976
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Trump out as President before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$1,376 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 79%, now 80% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,060
+$78 P&L
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 62%, now 35% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,512
−$4,335 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 65%, now 33% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,987
−$5,036 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 60%, now 30% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,788
−$2,814 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 63%, now 61% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,562
−$73 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 60%, now 31% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,419
−$1,381 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 65%, now 59% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,409
−$167 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 73%, now 72% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,283
−$28 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 80%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,235
−$275 P&L
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 85%, now 79% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$924
−$76 P&L
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 49%, now 26% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$725
−$675 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 89%, now 91% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$709
+$9 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 84%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$659
+$59 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
No · entry 32%, now 18% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$544
−$456 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 79%
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 62%
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 80%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 79%
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 85%
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 78%
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Bought No at 32%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 80%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Sold Yes at 18%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Bought Yes at 80%
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 14%
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
$39
Bought No at 82%
Trump out as President before 2027?
$2,918
Bought Yes at 47%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
$300
Bought Yes at 56%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
$500
Bought Yes at 50%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
$500
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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