grinder1011 has made $20K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #7,986 all time by profit, with 1.2M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$20K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.2M
- Portfolio value
- $109K
- Profit this month
- −$11K
- Win rate (last 195 closed)
- 47%
How grinder1011 has traded
Across the 195 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 91 (47%) ended in profit and 104 in a loss, for +$7,889 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 45%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $66K together, the biggest is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?” (No) at 24% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$11K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
No · entry 78% · closed Oct 6, 2026
+$6,961
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No · entry 87% · closed Sep 9, 2026
+$4,632
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$2,537
Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
No · entry 76% · closed Sep 28, 2026
+$2,443
Will MOUZ Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?
No · entry 64% · closed Sep 6, 2026
+$2,191
Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Sep 28, 2026
+$1,635
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 51% · closed Sep 22, 2026
+$1,307
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$890
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Oct 19, 2026
+$886
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?
Yes · entry 61% · closed Aug 14, 2026
−$6,227
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?
No · entry 58% · closed Sep 27, 2026
−$3,991
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
No · entry 31% · closed Aug 28, 2026
−$3,389
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Sep 22, 2026
−$2,643
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
No · entry 60% · closed Aug 14, 2026
−$2,444
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 84% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$1,341
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
No · entry 27% · closed Sep 22, 2026
−$670
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$625
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 12% · closed Oct 14, 2026
−$550
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Oct 21, 2026
−$546
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No · entry 83%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$906 P&L
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 73%, now 73% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,453
−$75 P&L
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?
No · entry 70%, now 69% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,268
−$108 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 33%, now 40% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,264
+$656 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 72%, now 72% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,772
+$20 P&L
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?
Yes · entry 70%, now 69% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,597
−$43 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 42%, now 42% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,436
−$41 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 29%, now 32% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,413
+$235 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
No · entry 43%, now 33% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,333
−$1,043 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 35%, now 41% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,063
+$447 P&L
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 73%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,980
+$52 P&L
Blue tsunami in 2026?
No · entry 48%, now 44% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,851
−$230 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 42%, now 42% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,847
−$34 P&L
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 18%, now 19% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,378
+$86 P&L
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?
No · entry 63%, now 60% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,233
−$126 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 24%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Sold Yes at 2%
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in October?
Sold Yes at 65%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Sold No at 77%
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Sold No at 77%
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Sold No at 77%
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Sold No at 77%
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 10%
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 3%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 53%
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Sold Yes at 11%
Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
Bought No at 34%
Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?
Sold Yes at 50%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?
Bought No at 92%
Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 29%
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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