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Melody626

0xecaa…77a9 · Joined January 5, 2024

#3,218,296 all time#253 this monthView on Polymarket

Melody626 is down $34K in realized results on Polymarket, with 36M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$34K
All-time volume (shares)
36M
Portfolio value
$484K
Profit this month
+$74K
Win rate (last 200 closed)
79%

How Melody626 has traded

Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 157 (79%) ended in profit and 43 in a loss, for +$439K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 62%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 93 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $482K together, the biggest is “Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?” (Yes) at 29% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?

    Yes · entry 46% · closed Oct 7, 2025

    +$140K

  • Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

    Yes · entry 52% · closed Feb 3, 2026

    +$126K

  • TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

    Yes · entry 70% · closed Jan 22, 2025

    +$95K

  • Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 59% · closed Jul 6, 2026

    +$60K

  • Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

    Yes · entry 73% · closed Dec 25, 2025

    +$46K

  • Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?

    No · entry 57% · closed Dec 17, 2024

    +$40K

  • GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%?

    No · entry 63% · closed Dec 18, 2024

    +$40K

  • Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

    No · entry 66% · closed Jun 21, 2026

    +$37K

  • Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?

    No · entry 64% · closed Jan 16, 2026

    +$37K

  • Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

    No · entry 50% · closed Oct 5, 2026

    +$37K

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

    Yes · entry 55% · closed Jan 11, 2026

    −$93K

  • Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 57% · closed May 28, 2025

    −$66K

  • Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?

    No · entry 46% · closed Dec 20, 2024

    −$60K

  • Will there be a US Government shutdown?

    No · entry 77% · closed May 6, 2025

    −$60K

  • US military action against Iran before July?

    No · entry 55% · closed Apr 21, 2026

    −$54K

  • Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

    No · entry 60% · closed Apr 21, 2026

    −$52K

  • Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more?

    No · entry 71% · closed Jan 11, 2026

    −$50K

  • Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

    Yes · entry 48% · closed Nov 13, 2025

    −$48K

  • Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

    Yes · entry 62% · closed Jun 3, 2025

    −$39K

  • US government shutdown Saturday?

    No · entry 42% · closed Feb 4, 2026

    −$39K

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

  • Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

    Yes · entry 81%, now 100% · ended Nov 4, 2025

    $138K

    +$26K P&L

  • Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

    Yes · entry 48%, now 100% · ended Jun 24, 2025

    $110K

    +$57K P&L

  • Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

    Yes · entry 77%, now 100% · ended Oct 20, 2025

    $65K

    +$15K P&L

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 71%, now 36% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $38K

    −$37K P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?

    No · entry 69%, now 100% · ended Jun 2, 2026

    $32K

    +$10K P&L

  • Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?

    Yes · entry 69%, now 100% · ended Jun 2, 2026

    $26K

    +$8,337 P&L

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    No · entry 72%, now 38% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $22K

    −$20K P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

    No · entry 59%, now 64% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $15K

    +$1,125 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?

    Yes · entry 74%, now 84% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $14K

    +$1,541 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

    No · entry 73%, now 96% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $11K

    +$2,610 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?

    Yes · entry 69%, now 28% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $3,985

    −$5,878 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?

    No · entry 69%, now 30% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $3,000

    −$3,900 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?

    No · entry 70%, now 87% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $1,303

    +$250 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?

    No · entry 28%, now 100% · ended May 5, 2026

    $703

    +$503 P&L

  • Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

    Yes · entry 49%, now 100% · ended Nov 4, 2025

    $650

    +$331 P&L

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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