
Nervous-Parallelogram
0xec98…afcd · Joined August 12, 2024
Nervous-Parallelogram has made $519K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #404 all time by profit, with 84M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$519K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 84M
- Portfolio value
- $209K
- Profit this month
- −$391
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 51%
How Nervous-Parallelogram has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 101 (51%) ended in profit and 98 in a loss, for +$1,489 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 58%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 178 of the 199 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $193K together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 14% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Dplus KIA · entry 34% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$38K

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 92% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$32K

Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Team Spirit · entry 71% · closed Aug 22, 2026
+$29K

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Movistar KOI · entry 23% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$27K

LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Hanwha Life Esports · entry 53% · closed Aug 8, 2026
+$23K

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Team Yandex · entry 57% · closed Aug 21, 2026
+$22K

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
Team Spirit · entry 57% · closed Aug 23, 2026
+$21K

LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
CTBC Flying Oyster · entry 40% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$21K

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
Team Yandex · entry 58% · closed Aug 21, 2026
+$21K

LoL: FURIA Esports vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
MVK Esports · entry 27% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$21K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)
Uruguay · entry 38% · closed Jun 22, 2026
−$104K

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Jun 22, 2026
−$90K

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 49% · closed Jun 22, 2026
−$83K

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
Vitality · entry 81% · closed Sep 28, 2026
−$81K

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 1 Winner
Amaru Gaming · entry 69% · closed Aug 9, 2026
−$54K

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
TEAM VISION · entry 56% · closed Sep 28, 2026
−$52K

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Natus Vincere · entry 76% · closed Oct 7, 2026
−$38K

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
Anyones Legend · entry 49% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$25K

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Team Falcons · entry 71% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$22K

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner
Cloud9 · entry 77% · closed Oct 17, 2026
−$21K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 62%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$26K
+$8,524 P&L

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 87%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$1,870 P&L

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 70%, now 74% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
+$875 P&L

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 84%, now 72% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$18K
−$3,225 P&L

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$1,298 P&L

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 69%, now 71% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$400 P&L

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No · entry 57%, now 77% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$3,255 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 62%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$500 P&L

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 81%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,750
+$1,650 P&L

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No · entry 52%, now >99% · ended Nov 4, 2026
$9,369
+$4,506 P&L

Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No · entry 93%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,250
−$50 P&L

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 86%, now 87% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,650
+$50 P&L

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
No · entry 83%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,550
+$250 P&L

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 70%, now 71% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,311
+$45 P&L

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 84%, now 91% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,525
+$325 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Ayla Aksu at 67%
Courmayeur: Lisa Zaar vs Ayla Aksu

Bought Ayla Aksu at 67%
Courmayeur: Lisa Zaar vs Ayla Aksu

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Rams Başakşehir FK at 72%
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)

Bought Wizards at 45%
Wizards vs. Hornets

Bought Yes at 57%
Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to Score

Bought Yes at 63%
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to Score

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Under at 78%
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5

Bought Yes at 70%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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