KishoAriiii is down $1,586 in realized results on Polymarket, with 1.4M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Sep 22, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$1,586
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.4M
- Portfolio value
- $22K
- Profit this month
- +$3,497
- Win rate (last 9 closed)
- 67%
How KishoAriiii has traded
Across all 9 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 6 (67%) ended in profit and 3 in a loss, for −$1,495 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 67%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 4 largest open positions listed below, worth $22K together, the biggest is “Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?” (No) at 62% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Iran leadership change by August 31?
No · entry 88% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$18K

Iran leadership change by September 30?
No · entry 99% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$18K

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
No · entry 97% · closed Sep 9, 2026
+$14K

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?
No · entry >99% · closed May 2, 2026
+$92

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
No · entry >99% · closed May 1, 2026
+$29

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$1
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Iran leadership change by August 31?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Sep 1, 2026
−$19K

Iran leadership change by September 30?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Sep 18, 2026
−$18K

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Aug 14, 2026
−$14K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No · entry 60%, now 73% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$2,416 P&L

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 75%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,200
+$902 P&L

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
No · entry 32%, now 18% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,042
−$892 P&L

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No · entry 91%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Recent trades

Bought No at 54%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$7

Bought No at 54%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$67

Bought No at 57%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$500

Bought No at 58%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$500

Sold No at 99%
Iran leadership change by September 30?
$396

Sold No at 99%
Iran leadership change by September 30?
$49

Sold No at 99%
Iran leadership change by September 30?
$49

Bought No at 59%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
$1,150

Bought Yes at 2%
Iran leadership change by September 30?
$3

Bought Yes at 2%
Iran leadership change by September 30?
$555

Bought No at 99%
Iran leadership change by September 30?
$35K

Sold Yes at 2%
Iran leadership change by September 30?
$539

Sold Yes at 2%
Iran leadership change by September 30?
$16

Sold No at 99%
Iran leadership change by September 30?
$14K

Sold No at 99%
Iran leadership change by September 30?
$10,000
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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