Iax is down $14K in realized results on Polymarket, with 2.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$14K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.7M
- Portfolio value
- $150
- Profit this month
- −$28
- Win rate (last 195 closed)
- 46%
How Iax has traded
Across the 195 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 89 (46%) ended in profit and 106 in a loss, for −$2,271 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 39%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 11 largest open positions listed below, worth $150 together, the biggest is “Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?” (Yes) at 27% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
No · entry 19% · closed May 21, 2026
+$5,337
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
No · entry 12% · closed Jun 2, 2026
+$3,876
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$2,242
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
No · entry 25% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$2,200
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?
No · entry 3% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$1,731
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 58% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$1,500
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Yes · entry 13% · closed May 1, 2026
+$1,342
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No · entry 34% · closed Jul 31, 2026
+$1,326
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No · entry 15% · closed Jul 17, 2026
+$1,231
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
No · entry 48% · closed Feb 6, 2026
+$1,167
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 84% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$11K
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
No · entry 16% · closed May 1, 2026
−$3,123
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
No · entry 5% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$2,939
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No · entry 89% · closed May 22, 2026
−$2,613
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 65% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$2,230
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition
Yes · entry 68% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$2,089
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 38% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$1,989
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Mar 8, 2026
−$1,780
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No · entry 20% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$1,680
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$1,661
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?
Yes · entry 58%, now 39% · ends Oct 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$41
−$21 P&L
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?
Yes · entry 90%, now 92% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 20%, now 17% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?
No · entry 87%, now 83% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?
No · entry 65%, now 69% · ends Jan 11, 2027
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 32%, now 31% · ends Oct 31, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
No · entry 29%, now 19% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
Yes · entry 27%, now 27% · ends Feb 11, 2027
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?
Yes · entry 15%, now 11% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 21%, now 44% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
No · entry 10%, now 8% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Recent trades
Sold No at 12%
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Bought No at 49%
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Bought Yes at 27%
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
Bought No at 70%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 25%
Will With Tapes and Toasts in the Car win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Sold Yes at 10%
Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Sold Yes at 7%
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?
Sold No at 52%
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?
Sold No at 15%
Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?
Sold No at 15%
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?
Bought No at 72%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 65%
Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?
Bought No at 73%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 25%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 25%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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