0xe617…f251 is down $49K in realized results on Polymarket, with 7.4M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 14, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$49K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 7.4M
- Portfolio value
- $160K
- Profit this month
- +$7,364
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 83%
How 0xe617…f251 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 166 (83%) ended in profit and 34 in a loss, for −$21K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 87%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $158K together, the biggest is “Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” (Yes) at 34% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$8,199

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?
Up · entry 86% · closed Mar 5, 2026
+$7,365

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$6,870

Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$5,727

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
No · entry 85% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$5,008

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$4,846

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No · entry 73% · closed May 12, 2026
+$4,007

US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 88% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$2,960

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Jul 5, 2026
+$2,424

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5?
Down · entry 95% · closed Mar 6, 2026
+$2,184
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?
Down · entry 99% · closed Mar 11, 2026
−$62K

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jul 12, 2026
−$11K

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?
Down · entry 93% · closed Mar 23, 2026
−$9,647

Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Mar 31, 2026
−$8,102

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?
No · entry 92% · closed Mar 3, 2026
−$7,965

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Feb 9, 2026
−$6,963

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?
Up · entry 87% · closed Mar 11, 2026
−$6,256

Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Feb 6, 2026
−$6,000

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$5,074

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?
Up · entry 87% · closed Sep 9, 2026
−$5,047
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 89%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$54K
+$3,961 P&L

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 74%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$45K
+$9,583 P&L

OpenAI IPO before 2027?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$48 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 87%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,665
+$165 P&L

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
No · entry 92%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,291
+$291 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?
No · entry 93%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,269
+$269 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?
No · entry 92%, now 97% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,253
+$253 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,140
+$140 P&L

Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Yes · entry 84%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,841
−$159 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 85% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,670
−$330 P&L

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
No · entry 93%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,745
+$145 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?
No · entry 89%, now 93% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,145
+$145 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
No · entry 86%, now 85% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,948
−$52 P&L

Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 95% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,086
+$86 P&L

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,008
+$8 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 62%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Bought No at 91%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?

Bought No at 86%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?

Bought Up at 97%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?

Bought Up at 90%
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?

Bought Yes at 99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?
Bought Yes at 83%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Bought No at 99%
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?

Bought No at 92%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?

Bought No at 89%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?
Bought Yes at 87%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Bought No at 91%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 2?

Bought No at 97%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 2?

Bought No at 93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.