Tobias1909
0xe394…289c · Joined September 12, 2024
Tobias1909 has made $27K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #6,112 all time by profit, with 4.3M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$27K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.3M
- Portfolio value
- $32K
- Profit this month
- −$24K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 86%
How Tobias1909 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 172 (86%) ended in profit and 28 in a loss, for +$282K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 58%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 115 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $32K together, the biggest is “Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 21% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic · entry 18% · closed Oct 4, 2026
+$12K

US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina
Elena Rybakina · entry 44% · closed Sep 11, 2026
+$12K

Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek
Jessica Pegula · entry 39% · closed Aug 22, 2026
+$9,123

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Sep 14, 2026
+$8,963

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Sep 6, 2026
+$8,073

Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic · entry 46% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$6,721

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Aug 24, 2026
+$6,634

Winston-Salem Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Quentin Halys
Benjamin Bonzi · entry 60% · closed Aug 25, 2026
+$6,409

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev
Alcaraz · entry 25% · closed Jan 30, 2026
+$6,196

China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev
Novak Djokovic · entry 45% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$6,164
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Sep 13, 2026
−$6,409

Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils · entry 41% · closed Oct 4, 2026
−$5,609

Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Novak Djokovic · entry 40% · closed Aug 15, 2026
−$5,189

Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$4,421

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala
Naomi Osaka · entry 57% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$3,396

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
No · entry 51% · closed Sep 13, 2026
−$3,309

Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinka
Gea · entry 60% · closed Jan 25, 2026
−$3,000

Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Sep 11, 2026
−$2,961

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
No · entry 67% · closed Apr 28, 2025
−$2,930

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Yes · entry 26% · closed May 20, 2026
−$2,320
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 68%, now 61% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,623
−$783 P&L

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 45%, now 53% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,235
+$947 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 43%, now 40% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,426
−$357 P&L

Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
Yes · entry 54%, now 65% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,820
+$599 P&L

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 71%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,172
+$402 P&L

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 10%, now 18% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,261
+$1,019 P&L

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 46%, now 11% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,901
−$6,186 P&L

Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?
Yes · entry 74%, now 68% · ends Jun 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,151
−$108 P&L

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 38%, now 19% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$385
−$407 P&L

Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?
No · entry 91%, now 93% · ends Jun 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$382
+$7 P&L

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 24%, now 25% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$367
+$7 P&L

Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?
Yes · entry 53%, now 52% · ends Dec 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$305
−$7 P&L

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 82%, now 89% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$219
+$18 P&L

Will Arthur Fils Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?
Yes · entry 70%, now 92% · market ended
$204
+$48 P&L

Will the Montreal Canadiens record 110+ points?
No · entry 70%, now 79% · ends Apr 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$169
+$19 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Taylor Fritz at 45%
Lyon Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz

Bought Yes at 51%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 52%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 52%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 51%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 51%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 53%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Yes at 53%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Bought Lorenzo Musetti at 52%
Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti

Bought Lorenzo Musetti at 52%
Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti

Bought Lorenzo Musetti at 52%
Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti

Bought Lorenzo Musetti at 52%
Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti

Bought Lorenzo Musetti at 58%
Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti

Bought Lorenzo Musetti at 58%
Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti

Bought Lorenzo Musetti at 58%
Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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