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Fearless-Misnomer

Fearless-Misnomer

0xe234…304a · Joined June 11, 2026

#1,570 all time#7,247 this monthView on Polymarket

Fearless-Misnomer has made $127K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,570 all time by profit, with 28M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$127K
All-time volume (shares)
28M
Portfolio value
$181K
Profit this month
+$1,078
Win rate (last 198 closed)
49%

How Fearless-Misnomer has traded

Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 98 (49%) ended in profit and 100 in a loss, for +$114K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 52%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $152K together, the biggest is “Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?” (No) at 21% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

    Yes · entry 91% · closed Jun 18, 2026

    +$59K

  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

    Yes · entry 17% · closed Oct 16, 2026

    +$31K

  • Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 9, 2026

    +$30K

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Jun 18, 2026

    +$29K

  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

    No · entry 80% · closed Sep 30, 2026

    +$26K

  • US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?

    No · entry 8% · closed Aug 30, 2026

    +$22K

  • Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    No · entry 62% · closed Oct 9, 2026

    +$17K

  • Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

    No · entry 3% · closed Aug 3, 2026

    +$16K

  • Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

    Yes · entry 5% · closed Aug 2, 2026

    +$14K

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

    No · entry 27% · closed Jul 29, 2026

    +$13K

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

    No · entry 84% · closed Oct 16, 2026

    −$30K

  • US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

    No · entry 82% · closed Oct 8, 2026

    −$16K

  • Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Aug 3, 2026

    −$15K

  • Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

    No · entry 99% · closed Sep 1, 2026

    −$15K

  • Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Aug 6, 2026

    −$10K

  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

    Yes · entry 2% · closed Sep 9, 2026

    −$9,724

  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

    Yes · entry 10% · closed Jul 21, 2026

    −$8,987

  • Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Jul 25, 2026

    −$8,394

  • Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

    No · entry 73% · closed Jul 29, 2026

    −$7,806

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

    No · entry 9% · closed Jun 18, 2026

    −$7,629

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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