CDAP1 has made $142K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,424 all time by profit, with 10M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$142K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 10M
- Portfolio value
- $253K
- Profit this month
- +$7,154
- Win rate (last 23 closed)
- 74%
How CDAP1 has traded
Across all 23 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 17 (74%) ended in profit and 6 in a loss, for +$172K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 34%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 17 of the 23 are about economy and the Fed, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $253K together, the biggest is “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?” (Yes) at 90% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Sep 17, 2026
+$131K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Sep 17, 2026
+$22K
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Sep 17, 2026
+$11K
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
No · entry 54% · closed Jun 17, 2026
+$2,868
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Mar 24, 2026
+$2,393
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 59% · closed Sep 17, 2026
+$2,138
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Apr 29, 2026
+$1,462
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
No · entry 36% · closed Sep 17, 2026
+$1,428
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Feb 11, 2026
+$660
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Mar 9, 2026
+$639
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.6% · closed Mar 21, 2026
−$2,071
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Mar 21, 2026
−$1,992
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.3% · closed Mar 21, 2026
−$500
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?
No · entry 0.4% · closed Mar 21, 2026
−$151
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
No · entry 6% · closed Sep 17, 2026
−$7
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 65%, now 77% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$228K
+$35K P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Yes · entry 33%, now 28% · ends Jan 28, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
−$2,158 P&L
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 7%, now 7% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,938
−$611 P&L
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
No · entry 49%, now 98% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,370
+$678 P&L
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Yes · entry 3%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$651
+$519 P&L
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 15%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$384
+$323 P&L
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
No · entry 88%, now 91% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$384
+$14 P&L
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes · entry 5%, now 3% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$365
−$343 P&L
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Yes · entry 71%, now 70% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$124
−$2 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 21%, now 21% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Yes · entry 74%, now 73% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Yes · entry 20%, now 2% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$33
−$239 P&L
Will the Fed Hike-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
No · entry 91%, now 98% · ends Jan 27, 2027
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes · entry 74%, now 77% · ends Dec 10, 2026
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
Yes · entry 57%, now 68% · ends Jan 28, 2027
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 18%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Bought Yes at 74%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Bought Yes at 72%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Bought Yes at 2%
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Bought Yes at 21%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 7%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 87%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
Bought No at 7%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought No at 87%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
Bought No at 86%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
Bought No at 7%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 74%
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Bought Yes at 19%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Bought Yes at 22%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 73%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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